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Is Egypt deteriorating under President Sisi’s ruling elite?

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, the then field marshal of the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces, was selected by Former Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi  to serve as defence minister in August 2012.

The recruitment took place at the time Morsi had relieved several senior military leaders of their duties so as to promote a younger generation of army generals, closer to the idea of democratic transition. President Hosni Mubarak’s 30-year rule ended on January 2011.

Sisi was known as a long-time military officer and the former head of military intelligence. A year later, on July 3, 2013, Sisi led a military coup that removed Morsi, following mass protests over a worsening economic and human rights climate.

Since the toppling of Morsi, Sisi became increasingly known as the “people’s saviour”. He won the 2014 presidential election with 97 percent of the vote, according to the state’s election commission.

Since Sisi took office in June 2014, human rights conditions in the country have continued to deteriorate, with human rights organisations reporting that around 60,000 people were imprisoned over the past four years. Egypt has built 19 new prisons in the last five years, 16 since Sisi took office.

‘Most of the inmates were political prisoners, and that they suffered abuses at the hands of Interior Ministry officers, including beatings, force-feedings, deprivation of contact with relatives and lawyers, and interference in medical care,’ as per the Human Rights Watch report on Cairo’s notorious Scorpion Prison.

According to Al-Nadeem Centre, an Egypt-based human rights group that works with victims of torture, extrajudicial killings rose from 326 in 2015 to 754 in the first half of 2016.

In August 2016, the Egyptian Coordination of Rights and Freedoms released a report on prison conditions in Egypt under Sisi’s rule, documenting 1,344 incidents of torture and intentional medical neglect in detention facilities and prisons between 2015 and 2016.

In 2014, Sisi issued a decree that granted the military wider jurisdiction, allowing the armed forces to prosecute civilians in military courts. These trials often lack evidence and are solely based on investigations led by national security officers. According to Human Rights Watch, the law has formed the basis of 7,400 or more military trials of civilians to date.

There are also reports of forced disappearances, with Amnesty International recording three to four disappearances a day between 2015 and 2016. The rights group acknowledged that the number could be much higher, since numerous families fear repercussions for reporting a disappearance.

In 2016, Egypt’s Supreme Court upheld a 2013 law that effectively banned any public gathering of more than 10 people, sentencing offenders to up to five years in prison.

Sisi also gave a major blow to the press and media as he ordered the creation of a Supreme Council for the Administration of the Media, a body that has the authority to revoke media licences and fine or suspend publications and broadcasters a move suffocated the press freedom in the country.

In June 2017, 64 news websites that were not aligned to the state media’s narrative were blocked before the 2018 presidential elections.

Egypt also remains under a state of emergency, which was declared in April after deadly church attacks killed nearly 50 people. The state of emergency grants the president powers to censor, monitor or halt forms of communication.

In 2016, the Egyptian parliament passed a law that heavily regulates the operations of more than 47,000 non-governmental organisations and charities across the country, making them subject to a governmental supervisory body. Several organizations including Al-Nadeem Centre were forcibly shut down as part of what analysts describe as a widening crackdown on civil society and dissent.

Egypt’s economic condition is also deteriorating under Sisi’s rule. Political instability and regional insecurity have damaged tourism in the country, which never fully recovered from the 2008 global economic crisis.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a $12bn loan after Egypt agreed to its economic reform plan, which was designed to address the country’s huge budget deficit, official overspending, state subsidies and currency flotation.

As a result, Egypt devalued its currency by 48 percent, which made scores of medical products unprofitable to produce or import.

In Egypt, 28 percent of the population lives under the poverty line, and unemployment rates reached 13 percent in 2016. In May 2017, Egypt’s inflation increased to 30 percent, the highest in the past three decades.

Deal of Red Sea:

In 2016, the government agreed to transfer control of two strategic Red Sea islands – Tiran and Sanafir – to Saudi Arabia, sparking outrage and public protests. Although a lower court had previously ruled against the deal, Egypt’s top court later nullified that verdict.

The islands at the mouth of the Gulf of Aqaba control the narrow shipping lanes running north to the Red Sea port cities of Eilat and Aqaba, in Israel and Jordan.

Hundreds demonstrated against the move in the streets of Cairo in the first mass protests under Sisi. A total of 71 protesters were arrested and sentenced to two years of imprisonment.

Dozens more were arrested in June 2017, as police cracked down on a second demonstration. Journalists and activists criticised the deal while it was being debated in parliament, accusing Sisi of selling land in return for Saudi aid. The deal was ultimately passed.

Democracy suffocated – Opposition silenced:

With Sisi widely expected to run for a second term, the government has increasingly silenced opposition candidates. In May 2017, ex-presidential candidate and opposition leader Khaled Ali was arrested pending investigations.

Ali, a human rights lawyer who had suggested he may run for president in 2018, was the main lawyer behind bringing a case against the government for agreeing to sign the Tiran and Sanafir deal.

Egypt is also gripped by conflict in the Sinai Peninsula – a volatile desert region split into two governorates, north and south, which has been a hotbed for various armed groups.

Fighters based in the Sinai who are affiliated with the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant group (ISIL, also known as ISIS) vowed earlier this year to increase attacks against Egypt’s Coptic Christian minority.