Hyderabad: The scorching summer heat in Telangana will likely end in the first week of June according to a monsoon forecasting model developed by scientists from Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research (PIK), a German-government funded research institute.
The first monsoon showers are likely to arrive between June 8 and 16 predicts the forecast model.
Prof Elena Surovyatkina , German Climate researcher from PIK has been issuing monsoon forecasts since 2016, 40 days in advance for the central part of India in the area of Eastern Ghats.
The German researcher said the onset of monsoons depends a lot on cyclones in the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal.
Telangana and Eastern Ghats are neighbouring regions and there is a considerable difference in the interplay of the two branches of monsoons one from the Arabian Sea and another from the Bay of Bengal in these regions.
“Some years, the onset of monsoon appears at the same date in these two areas, while in others, it appears with a difference of 6 to10 days. Such a difference might be caused by the simultaneous appearance of two cyclones in the Arabian Sea and in the Bay of Bengal, which prevent the advance of monsoon for several days. Another reason might be an anticyclone on the north of the Arabian Sea, which decelerates the turning of the monsoon winds in the Bay of Bengal toward Indian subcontinent,” Prof Elena said.