Mumbai: The rupee consolidated in a narrow range and settled 14 paise higher at 81.53 against the US dollar on Tuesday as the American currency retreated from its elevated levels.
At the interbank forex market, the local unit opened at 81.45 against the greenback. It witnessed an intra-day high of 81.30 and a low of 81.64 during the session.
It finally ended at 81.53, up 14 paise from its previous close.
This is the first gain after four consequent sessions of losses for the rupee, during which it lost 193 paise against the American dollar.
On Monday, the rupee plunged 58 paise to close at an all-time low of 81.67 against the dollar.
“Rupee consolidated in a narrow range after falling to fresh lows in Monday’s session. There are some reports suggesting that India’s inclusion into the key government bond index could get pushed back to next year,” Gaurang Somaiya, Forex & Bullion Analyst, Motilal Oswal Financial Services, said.
On the domestic front, the focus will be on the RBI policy statement due on Friday.
“Expectation is that the central bank could raise rates by 50 bps and maintain a hawkish stance. The pound plunged further after the Finance Minister sent the currency and its government bonds into freefall,” Somaiya said.
The focus will be on the durable goods and consumer confidence numbers that will be released from the US. We expect the USD/INR(Spot) to trade sideways and quote in the range of 81.20 and 81.80, Somaiya added.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.25 per cent to 113.81.
Brent crude futures, the global oil benchmark, advanced 1.36 per cent to USD 85.20 per barrel.
On the domestic equity market front, BSE Sensex ended 37.70 points or 0.07 per cent down at 57,107.52, while the broader NSE Nifty fell 8.90 points or 0.05 per cent to 17,007.40.
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital markets as they offloaded shares worth Rs 2,823.96 crore on Tuesday, according to exchange data.
“Indian rupee and bond pared gains as nations’ debt inclusion in the JP Morgan EM bond could delay until next year while FTSE Russell will unveil the results of its review on Thursday,” said Dilip Parmar, Research Analyst, HDFC Securities.
The investors are eying the RBI monetary policy scheduled on Friday and the dollar index for the short-term directional trend.
“We believe spot USD/INR could trade in the range of 82 to 79.90 before heading north,” Parmar added.
According to Sriram Iyer, Senior Research Analyst at Reliance Securities the Indian rupee ended higher on Tuesday as the dollar took a breather.
In the overseas markets, the dollar index fell marginally this Tuesday afternoon trade in Asia, but downside remained capped after Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said that the US Fed will need to raise interest rates by at least 1 per cent this year, a more hawkish stance than previously spoken by him.
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